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Auteur (up) Maury, O.; Campling, L.; Arrizabalaga, H.; Aumont, O.; Bopp, L.; Merino, G.; Squires, D.; Cheung, W.; Goujon, M.; Guivarch, C.; Lefort, S.; Marsac, F.; Monteagudo, P.; Murtugudde, R.; Österblom, H.; Pulvenis, J.F.; Ye, Y.; van Ruijven, B.J. url  doi
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  Titre From shared socio-economic pathways (SSPs) to oceanic system pathways (OSPs): Building policy-relevant scenarios for global oceanic ecosystems and fisheries Type Article scientifique
  Année 2017 Publication Revue Abrégée Global Environmental Change  
  Volume 45 Numéro Supplement C Pages 203-216  
  Mots-Clés Economy; Governance; management; Oceanic fisheries; Oceanic system pathways (OSPs); Scenarios; Shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs)  
  Résumé There is an urgent need for developing policy-relevant future scenarios of biodiversity and ecosystem services. This paper is a milestone toward this aim focusing on open ocean fisheries. We develop five contrasting Oceanic System Pathways (OSPs), based on the existing five archetypal worlds of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) developed for climate change research (e.g., Nakicenovic et al., 2014 and Riahi et al., 2016). First, we specify the boundaries of the oceanic social-ecological system under focus. Second, the two major driving forces of oceanic social-ecological systems are identified in each of three domains, viz., economy, management and governance. For each OSP (OSP1 “sustainability first”, OSP2 “conventional trends”, OSP3 “dislocation”, OSP4 “global elite and inequality”, OSP5 “high tech and market”), a storyline is outlined describing the evolution of the driving forces with the corresponding SSP. Finally, we compare the different pathways of oceanic social-ecological systems by projecting them in the two-dimensional spaces defined by the driving forces, in each of the economy, management and governance domains. We expect that the OSPs will serve as a common basis for future model-based scenario studies in the context of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and the Intergovernmental Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES).  
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  ISSN 0959-3780 ISBN Médium  
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  Numéro d'Appel MARBEC @ isabelle.vidal-ayouba @ collection 2189  
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